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Celtics Can’t Afford to Overpay for Giannis Antetokounmpo

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Apr 3, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) greets Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) after the game at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit:
Benny Sieu-Imagn Images
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When a talent like Giannis Antetokounmpo becomes available, it’s organizational malpractice not to at least discuss a way to bring him in.

Rumors about the Milwaukee Bucks superstar wanting out have circulated for years. After Milwaukee missed the playoffs in 2026 and as Antetokounmpo continues to drop hints about where he’d like to play, the prospect of a blockbuster trade is on a silver platter this offseason. It’s a realistic scenario that every contender, including the Boston Celtics, must evaluate.

As hard as it may be to show restraint with one of the most gifted players in NBA history available, Boston needs to remain disciplined in any negotiations.

While acquiring Antetokounmpo would instantly vault the Celtics back into prime title contention, the wrong trade package could jeopardize Boston’s flexibility for the rest of Jayson Tatum‘s career and slam their championship window shut sooner than expected.

Jaylen Brown Trade Rumors, Again?

Albert Einstein famously said that insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

That’s how it feels to be a Celtics fan subjected to Jaylen Brown trade rumors every offseason.

Nearly a decade into the Tatum-Brown era, the media is still finding ways to generate discourse about the two of them not enjoying playing together. 

The manufactured drama is exhausting as a fan. Tatum and Brown have consistently denied suggestions that they aren’t happy coexisting, and their résumé together speaks for itself.

But one thing has changed following the 2025-26 season: the Celtics are no longer firmly entrenched among the NBA’s elite contenders.

With Victor Wembanyama already leading the San Antonio Spurs to the NBA Finals, the 2025 champion Oklahoma City Thunder still positioned to contend for years, and competition throughout the Eastern Conference improving, the Celtics are facing pressure to improve — which brings the conversation back to Antetokounmpo.

Antetokounmpo vs. Brown

Before discussing the cost, it’s important to acknowledge a simple reality: Antetokounmpo is a better basketball player than Brown.

That isn’t a criticism of Brown. The Celtics star is coming off an MVP-caliber 2025-26 campaign. He averaged career highs across the board while continuing to grow as a playmaker and decision-maker.

But Antetokounmpo operates under a different set of physical rules than almost anyone in NBA history.

Brown creates advantages through skill, athleticism, and processing. Antetokounmpo creates them simply by existing at 6-foot-11 with overwhelming speed, strength, and length.

The difference is most evident at the rim.

Brown’s most efficient season at the basket came in 2021-22, when he shot 71.5% with 228 field goal makes. That would rank as Antetokounmpo’s least efficient season at the rim since 2016-17. That year, Giannis shot 68.9%, but almost doubled Brown’s production with 452 made shots.

Antetokounmpo is one of the most physically dominant athletes professional sports has ever seen. As talented as Brown is, he must work significantly harder to generate the same shots that come naturally to Antetokounmpo — with a wide gap in efficiency as well.

That’s why a Brown-for-Giannis swap, viewed strictly through a basketball lens, is defensible.

Solving Boston’s Biggest Weakness

Brad Stevens, Boston’s president of basketball operations, made it clear after the season that he was dissatisfied with the team’s offensive process.

“We had a hard time generating really good looks on that first shot,” Stevens said. “One of the things that we’ve got to figure out is how to have more of an impact at the rim — and we need to add to our team to do that.”

Few players in league history address that problem better than Antetokounmpo.

His relentless rim pressure would give the Celtics exactly the element Stevens identified as missing. Every possession would place defenses in impossible positions and force opposing rotations to create open opportunities for teammates.

The benefits wouldn’t stop there.

While Antetokounmpo is no longer the hyperactive defensive force who won Defensive Player of the Year in 2020, he still possesses the size and athletic profile to match up with dominant frontcourt players. Whether it’s Joel Embiid now or Wembanyama in the near future, Antetokounmpo gives Boston a physical answer that’s rare to find.

A Tatum-Antetokounmpo partnership would generate enormous offensive gravity and immediately raise Boston’s ceiling. The question is whether that ceiling is worth the potential cost.

Determining Compensation

It’s not about whether Antetokounmpo is better than Brown or if he would improve the Celtics’ roster on paper. The question is how much more Boston should be willing to surrender beyond Brown.

Milwaukee will not sell low on Antetokounmpo. He is their greatest player in franchise history, and they will understandably seek a massive return. Brown alone would not get it done.

Boston has three tradable first-round picks: 2027, 2031, and 2033. None of them is highly coveted. The 2027 selection projects to land near the back half of the first round if the Celtics remain competitive, while the 2031 and 2033 picks are far enough into the future that they may not align with Milwaukee’s preferred rebuilding timeline.

The Celtics could also include young players, but they lack the type of blue-chip prospect who easily solves negotiations.

As a result, Boston could find itself stacking assets to remain competitive in the bidding. A third team could help bridge that gap, but even then, the Celtics would be negotiating from a position of weakness.

Every draft pick, swap right, and young player attached to a Giannis trade reduces Boston’s ability to solve future problems. The more assets Stevens sends out the door, the less flexibility he will have to build around Tatum for the remainder of his prime.

Gambling on Injuries

Healthy versions of Tatum and Antetokounmpo together would make Boston a top-two championship contender every season. However, the floor for this experiment is a gamble.

Antetokounmpo has battled a growing list of lower-body injuries in recent years. Over the last five seasons, he has missed 110 regular-season games and multiple playoff contests, including Milwaukee’s entire first-round series in 2024.

His ability to bulldoze to the rim so frequently is a superpower that takes an immense physical toll. If injuries continue to pile up for him, the trait that makes him such a special talent could erode.

Brown, meanwhile, may age more gracefully. His game relies less on physical dominance and more on his expanding mind and skill set.

Antetokounmpo is the better player, but significant injuries at his size could turn his career south quickly. That’s not to say Brown’s future is foolproof, but Boston’s championship window will likely be open for longer with him rather than Giannis.

Talent Isn’t Everything

Milwaukee’s current situation should serve as a reminder that superstar pairings are not guaranteed to work.

The Bucks acquired Damian Lillard before the 2023-24 season, hoping to create one of the league’s most devastating offensive partnerships. The pairing of one of the greatest downhill forces and one of the greatest shooters of all time should have wreaked havoc.

However, it never materialized. Antetokounmpo was neither a willing nor an effective screener, limiting the pick-and-roll opportunities that many expected to define the duo.

Nikola Jokić, one of the greatest offensive hubs in NBA history, routinely ranks among the NBA’s leaders in screen assists. Antetokounmpo barely cracked the top 50 during his two seasons alongside Lillard.

Antetokounmpo and Lillard’s shooting percentages together reflect a flawed chemistry. In both 2023-24 and 2024-25, Antetokounmpo and Lillard shot significantly worse on possessions directly created by one another than they did overall.

Stats collected via NBA tracking

That doesn’t mean Antetokounmpo and Tatum would fail together.

It means that even elite talent requires fit, health, and time to flourish — factors that are never guaranteed.

The Future at Stake

Trading Jaylen Brown for Giannis Antetokounmpo, in a vacuum, is a defensible gamble. Trading Brown, multiple first-round picks, additional young players, and much of Boston’s remaining flexibility is a far different proposition.

Brown is still an incredible basketball player, and similarly to Milwaukee’s negotiation process, the Celtics shouldn’t sell low on him — especially when his value is at an all-time high.

Even if the ceiling with Antetokounmpo is higher than the ceiling with Brown, the Celtics are still championship contenders as-is. They have necessary areas for improvement, but selling out for a flashy, blockbuster trade isn’t the only way to return to glory.

As entertaining as a Tatum-Antetokounmpo duo would be, the risk doesn’t outweigh the reward if it requires several additional assets to make it happen.

If the beloved Jays era ends via a trade that doesn’t bring home Banner 19, failure will haunt the legacy of Brad Stevens and the Celtics’ new ownership group forever.

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Written by
TJ Mabardy

TJ is a Massachusetts native and sports writer at The Lead, covering the New England Patriots and Boston Celtics. With a passion for storytelling and deep sports knowledge, TJ provides insightful analysis and engaging content for fans.

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