MLB

Who Are the MLB Playoffs Picture’s Biggest Surprises?

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Jul 17, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Chicago White Sox left fielder Sam Antonacci (17) celebrates with second baseman Chase Meidroth (10) after defeating the Toronto Blue Jays in the ninth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images
Jul 17, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Chicago White Sox left fielder Sam Antonacci (17) celebrates with second baseman Chase Meidroth (10) after defeating the Toronto Blue Jays in the ninth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images
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Entering August, the MLB playoff picture is beginning to take shape. Early predictions showed the usual suspects at the top, while other teams were told right away to begin focusing on next year.

Yet the current playoff picture includes a few surprise names, with young teams proving competitive in a season in which experts wrote them off.

The White Sox Are Proving Everyone Wrong

Before the 2026 season, the White Sox were dismissed as a team projected to win 61 games and needing more rebuilding years before success. Yet they currently sit first in the AL Central, poised to secure their first playoff appearance in five years.

The White Sox have transformed their performance this year, beginning with their offense. Last season, their on-base percentage was .302, ranking 26th. This year, it improved to .316, placing them 16th in the league.

The team has adapted its young players to the major leagues, leading to success. Second-year middle infielder Chase Meidroth raised his batting average from .253 to .275. He also nearly doubled his RBI and home run totals.

Chicago’s biggest success has been demonstrating consistent performance throughout their lineup. Sam Antonacci leads the team in average (.277) and on-base percentage (.365). However, the rest of the roster shows depth, with three qualified players and eight total players posting an OBP above .320.

The White Sox pitching staff has also notably improved this year. In 2025, they posted a 4.26 ERA and allowed a .248 opponent batting average, ranking 20th in both categories. This season, they’re currently just outside the top ten in both.

If the White Sox maintain their momentum, they’ll secure just their third AL Central title in 20 years.

The Pirates’ Offensive Future is Promising

The Pirates began the 2026 season with arguably the highest untapped potential in the MLB. With a notably young roster, ESPN predicted that rookies Konnor Griffin and Bubba Chandler could finish first and second in the NL Rookie of the Year race.

Despite their talent, few expected the Pirates to contend for the postseason, with most predictions projecting a .500 record. Given the young roster, many anticipated most wins would come later after players adapted and got comfortable in the major leagues.

However, through July, the Pirates maintained a .500 record. Now, they are not too far from a wild card spot, much more in the fight than predicted.

The Pirates’ offense has been dominant this year. At the All-Star break, they led the league with a .263 batting average and were tied for the most runs scored (516). Although Griffin is not a leading Rookie of the Year candidate, he has performed well in his first year, maintaining an OBP above .300.

Pittsburgh’s Pitching is Facing Unexpected Struggles

However, pitching remains a challenge for the Pirates. They ranked 21st in ERA at the break. Meanwhile, their ace, Paul Skenes, who was the predicted Cy Young and possible MVP winner, has been the biggest disappointment of the year for Pittsburgh.

Skenes struggled midseason, showing rare flaws on the mound. He currently has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.99 run jump from last year. Although improved, he still allows too many runs, preventing the Pirates from fully leveraging their offense.

Despite struggles on the mound, the Pirates are in a surprising position to fight for the postseason entering August. Regardless of a 2026 postseason appearance, they have formed a young roster that will improve over the next few years. They may be a year or two away from a postseason spot. But start betting on the Pirates, because they are at the start of an exciting few years of baseball.

The Nationals Are Giving Mixed Pitching Signals

It’s hard to believe we’re writing about the possibility of the Nationals making the postseason after preseason projections ranked them 29th in the league. ESPN predicted a 58-win season, yet the Nationals won 48 games before the All-Star break. They also showed momentum by scoring 23 runs in their first game after. Despite big changes at the trade deadline, Washington is still in an unexpected and competitive spot entering August.

The Nationals’ success this year has come from the hitting, with talent showing throughout the entire lineup. But leading the team in average, home runs, hits, runs, and more have been breakout stars James Wood and CJ Abrams.

The team leads the league in home runs, RBIs, stolen bases, runs, and slugging percentage. The Nationals’ offense has been dominant and consistently reliable throughout the entire season.

However, the Nationals have struggled with pitching, especially in relief. In the first half of the season, they ranked 26th in ERA at 4.75, which worsened after getting swept in a four-game series against the Braves. Their relievers also allowed the fourth-worst opponent batting average in the league during this period.

Foster Griffin had been Washington’s standout starter. He led the team in ERA, wins, and opponent batting average. However, he was traded to the Guardians, which confused many fans. In turn, the Nationals brought in four new pitchers from the Yankees in hopes of improving their relief pitching for the second half of the season.

The trades with the Yankees and Guardians offer a juxtaposition for the Nationals as they look to push their way into the playoff picture. The moves prove that Washington is prioritizing the future. Yet trading away their ace means only time will tell whether their plan to win with new quantity over proven quality is successful.

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