AFCAFC NorthNFLRavens

Can the Ravens Afford to Lose Any More Games This Year?

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Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) hands off the ball to Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry (22) in the first quarter of the NFL football game at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati on Dec. 14, 2025.
© Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
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The Ravens sit at 7-7 after shutting out the Bengals in their most complete performance of the season. The defense played at its best, restoring belief across the roster.

Still, despite the momentum, the standings remain tight. With Pittsburgh holding first place in the division, the pressure has not eased. The bigger concern now is how quickly the margin disappears if the Ravens lose games in the late window of the season. 

The AFC North Race Leaves Little Room for Mistakes

Right now, the Ravens’ playoff chances suffer because the Steelers are ahead of Baltimore by a complete game in the division. Pittsburgh also has a more favorable remaining schedule compared to the Ravens. Therefore, every result matters more now. If the Ravens lose games late in the season, the division door closes quickly. 

The path outside of winning the division for Baltimore looks increasingly unrealistic. Teams like the Chargers, Bills, and Texans own far stronger records, and they would need to collapse down the stretch for Baltimore to sneak in. That scenario feels unlikely, which leaves the division as the most straightforward path to January. 

With the Steelers sitting at 8-6 and the Ravens at 7-7, their Week 18 matchup could decide everything—assuming Baltimore avoids slipping in weeks 16 and 17. At this point, winning the AFC North may be the only way the Ravens reach the playoffs.

The Schedule Becomes Competitive

Looking ahead, the difficulty only increases. The 11-3 Patriots bring defensive discipline, but they also arrive with Drake Maye playing confident, efficient football and earning MVP buzz. On the other hand, the 9-4-1 Green Bay Packers present a different challenge as they rely on a physical front that punishes quarterbacks. Baltimore has struggled at times against defenses that disguise pressure. 

Finally, the season closes with a road game in Pittsburgh, where pressure reaches its peak. That matchup could decide the division and determine whether Baltimore even reaches the postseason. Playing the Steelers at home in Week 18 leaves no margin for slow starts or missed opportunities. Because of that, every snap carries weight.

If the Ravens lose games in this stretch, the path to the playoffs will immediately become narrow.

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What This Stretch Will Reveal

Ultimately, this stretch will show whether Baltimore can handle sustained pressure. The defense showed its ceiling. The offense still needs consistency through all four quarters. Lamar Jackson needs better protection and balance. The coaching staff must manage situations clearly and leave no margin for error. Whether the Ravens win or lose games will determine how this season is remembered.

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Written by
Stefan Macakanja

Having grown up in Maryland, Stefan Macakanja has long followed the Baltimore Ravens and the NFL, with a strong focus on the team. His interest in the Ravens developed into a deeper focus on analyzing performances, team trends, and the key moments that define each season. Stefan is a writer for The Lead and studies Communication & Media Studies with an emphasis on sports media.

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